Gold prices have weathered sustained selling pressure since the precious
metal peaked 7-months ago. XAU/USD price action now trades roughly -16%
off its record close with weakness largely mirroring the ongoing
upswing in real yields. This has corresponded with a notably stronger US
Dollar, which in turn, has weighed negatively on the direction of gold.
That said, and in light of the US Dollar recently extending to
four-month highs, there could be potential for gold price action to face
further downside.To get more news about
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XAU/USD currently oscillates around the $1,725-price level and
week-to-date lows. This is a big area of technical confluence
underpinned by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its 2018 low to 2020
high. If gold bulls fail to defend this level and last weeks lows are
taken out, that could open up the door to another stretch of weakness.
Gold bears might try to test technical support around $1,675 under
this scenario. Although, the bullish long-term trendline connecting the
May 2019 and March 2020 swing lows stands out as a formidable barrier
with potential to stymie gold selling pressure. The bottom Bollinger
Band, in addition to the broader bull flag chart pattern, could help
keep gold price action afloat as well. If recent US Dollar strength
subsides, however, gold bulls might make a heartier rebound attempt. It
already appears that downward momentum has waned judging by the MACD
indicator.
Not to mention, the relative strength index shows XAU/USD is just a
stone‘s throw away from ’oversold‘ territory. This brings to focus
potential for an eventual reversal higher. If gold can catch a bid and
eclipse last week’s high, it could open up the door for a push toward
the $1,790-price level. Notching a weekly close above the 20-week simple
moving average, perhaps coinciding with a topside breakout from its
descending channel, might signal precious metal bulls are wrestling back
control.
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